{"id":638,"date":"2012-03-20T20:57:18","date_gmt":"2012-03-20T12:57:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.zhangxinjun.cn\/?p=638"},"modified":"2012-03-20T20:57:18","modified_gmt":"2012-03-20T12:57:18","slug":"the-impossible-trinity","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.zhangxinjun.cn\/?p=638","title":{"rendered":"\u4e09\u5143\u6096\u8bba"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>\u4e09\u5143\u6096\u8bba(The Impossible Trinity)\uff0c\u4e5f\u79f0\u4e09\u96be\u9009\u62e9<\/strong><\/p>\n<h3>\u4e09\u5143\u6096\u8bba\u6982\u8ff0<\/h3>\n<p>\u7f57\u4f2f\u7279\u00b7\u8499\u4ee3\u5c14(Robert A. Mundell)\u5728\u7814\u7a76\u4e8620\u4e16\u7eaa50\u5e74\u4ee3\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u60c5\u51b5\u4ee5\u540e\uff0c\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u652f\u6301\u56fa\u5b9a\u6c47\u7387\u5236\u5ea6\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\u300220\u4e16\u7eaa60\u5e74\u4ee3\uff0c\u8499\u4ee3\u5c14\u548cJ.\u9a6c\u5e93\u65af\u00b7\u5f17\u83b1\u660e(J.Marcus Fleming)\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u8499\u4ee3\u5c14\u2014\u5f17\u83b1\u660e\u6a21\u578b(Mundell-Fleming Model)\u5bf9\u5f00\u653e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0b\u7684IS-LM\u6a21\u578b\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u582a\u79f0\u56fa\u5b9a\u6c47\u7387\u5236\u4e0b\u4f7f\u7528\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u7ecf\u5178\u5206\u6790\u3002\u8be5\u6a21\u578b\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5728\u6ca1\u6709\u8d44\u672c\u6d41\u52a8\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u5728\u56fa\u5b9a\u6c47\u7387\u4e0b\u5728\u5f71\u54cd\u4e0e\u6539\u53d8\u4e00\u56fd\u7684\u6536\u5165\u65b9\u9762\u662f\u6709\u6548\u7684\uff0c\u5728\u6d6e\u52a8\u6c47\u7387\u4e0b\u5219\u66f4\u4e3a\u6709\u6548\uff1b\u5728\u8d44\u672c\u6709\u9650\u6d41\u52a8\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u6574\u4e2a\u8c03\u6574\u7ed3\u6784\u4e0e\u653f\u7b56\u6548\u5e94\u4e0e\u6ca1\u6709\u8d44\u672c\u6d41\u52a8\u65f6\u57fa\u672c\u4e00\u6837\uff1b\u800c\u5728\u8d44\u672c\u5b8c\u5168\u53ef\u6d41\u52a8\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u5728\u56fa\u5b9a\u6c47\u7387\u65f6\u5728\u5f71\u54cd\u4e0e\u6539\u53d8\u4e00\u56fd\u7684\u6536\u5165\u65b9\u9762\u662f\u5b8c\u5168\u65e0\u80fd\u4e3a\u529b\u7684\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u6d6e\u52a8\u6c47\u7387\u4e0b\uff0c\u5219\u662f\u6709\u6548\u7684\u3002\u7531\u6b64\u5f97\u51fa\u4e86\u8457\u540d\u7684\u201c\u8499\u4ee3\u5c14\u4e09\u89d2\u201d\u7406\u8bba\uff0c\u5373\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u72ec\u7acb\u6027\u3001\u8d44\u672c\u81ea\u7531\u6d41\u52a8\u4e0e\u6c47\u7387\u7a33\u5b9a\u8fd9\u4e09\u4e2a\u653f\u7b56\u76ee\u6807\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u540c\u65f6\u8fbe\u5230\u30021999\u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u4fdd\u7f57\u00b7\u514b\u9c81\u683c\u66fc(Paul Krugman)\u6839\u636e\u4e0a\u8ff0\u539f\u7406\u753b\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e09\u89d2\u5f62\uff0c\u4ed6\u79f0\u5176\u4e3a\u201c\u6c38\u6052\u7684\u4e09\u89d2\u5f62\u201d(The Eternal Triangle)\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u6e05\u6670\u5730\u5c55\u793a\u4e86\u201c\u8499\u4ee3\u5c14\u4e09\u89d2\u201d\u7684\u5185\u5728\u539f\u7406\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e09\u5143\u6096\u8bba(The Impossible 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